Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 14?
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET...
Preço SIM
32.5c
Preço NÃO
67.5c
Volume
$610
Fechamento
13/03 21:00 BR
14/03 00:00 UTC
Simulador de Ganho
Ganho estimado se acertar
R$ 0,00
Previsões da IA (1)
Prob IA SIM
50.00%
Prob IA NÃO
50.00%
Poly SIM na Previsão
0.4800c
Modelo
gpt-4o
Raciocínio da IA
A 'full lid' is often called when the President has no further public engagements, which can depend on the day's schedule and any unforeseen events. The current market odds are nearly even, reflecting uncertainty. Without specific information on the President's schedule or any significant events that might require public appearances, it's challenging to predict with high confidence. Therefore, a 50% probability reflects the balanced market sentiment and typical unpredictability of such lids.